The Forecast Herald

Politics

Elections, policy and geopolitics, priced by prediction markets in real time.

0%– unchanged in 24 hours

Eric Trump Nomination Odds Flat At Zero On Polymarket

Traders assign no chance to Eric Trump securing the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, reflecting a near-unanimous market consensus on the long-shot prospect.

  1. 8%– unchanged in 24 hoursTrump Presidency Odds Hold Steady on Polymarket
  2. 95%– unchanged in 24 hoursFarage Clacton By-Election Win Appears All But Certain
  3. 1%– unchanged in 24 hoursTalarico Democratic Nomination Odds Remain Stagnant
  4. 0%– unchanged in 24 hoursMichelle Bolsonaro's 2026 Presidential Bid Sees Zero Polymarket Support
  5. 27%– unchanged in 24 hoursRubio Nomination Odds Hold Steady on Polymarket
  6. 12%– unchanged in 24 hoursMélenchon's 2027 Presidential Bid Remains Long Shot on Polymarket
  7. 20%– unchanged in 24 hoursHaley Stevens' 2026 Michigan Primary Chances Stagnant at 20%
  8. 48%– unchanged in 24 hoursMilei's 2027 Election Chances Hold Steady on Polymarket
  9. 2%– unchanged in 24 hoursNew People Party Faces Uphill Battle for Russian Parliament Majority
  10. 1%– unchanged in 24 hoursMassa Júnior Third Place Odds Remain Flat Ahead of Brazil Election
  11. 94%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat?
  12. 94%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat?
  13. 97%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
  14. 94%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill the Democratic Party win the WA-10 House seat?
  15. 1%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026?
  16. 97%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
  17. EU Trade Deal Reaches 73% Probability
  18. UK Rejoins EU Single Market: 12% and Rising
  19. Climate Bill Passage Drops to 34%
  20. Trump Wins 2028 GOP Nomination: 71% Consensus