Entertainment
Awards, box office and culture calls, with live market probabilities.

7%– unchanged in 24 hours
Will WW3 happen before GTA6?
Manifold traders price this at 7% (flat over 24h). Volume: $12,574.
- 12%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?
- 65%– unchanged in 24 hoursHigh Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2050?
- 2%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill there be a Wikipedia page on @firstuserhere by the end of 2026? ($1k Mana subsidy)
- 49%– unchanged in 24 hours[READ DESCRIPTION] Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? [Polymarket]
- 67%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?
- 0%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 18?
- 31%– unchanged in 24 hoursWill the Kendrick Lamar/South Park movie get a U.S. theatrical release date announced in 2026?
- GTA VI Ships by December 2026: 56% Probability
- Squid Game Season 3 Breaks Netflix Records: 78%
- Taylor Swift Announces Retirement: 5% Odds
- MrBeast Hits 400M YouTube Subscribers: 67%